In response to Fred's post, I have a simple theory about who
people vote for. It's the "Most Like Me" theory.
Simply put, people vote for the person who is most like
on the information available, they determine "alikeness" based on many
In a Presidential race millions are spent to tell voters [implicitly or
why the candidates are or aren't like them.
But when you don't know much about a candidate's beliefs, or
the candidates seem to believe pretty much the same thing, what data do
Age and gender are things you can find out easily.
Other factors only
become known if the candidate brings them to your attention.
I thought Nick would get the most votes because of his
being closer in age to so many voters than the next oldest
Matt, and Tom are all about the same age, so I thought they might get
of the boomer vote.
If you are a mother then perhaps Margaret is going to be your
choice, because she's the only mom running. Etc.
It's a real challenge for a Green to win the "most like me"
The fact that Stephanie is doing as well as she is impresses
I think she has caused a lot of voters to ask themselves a different
"Who do you wish you were more like?" When people start asking
and saying "Stephanie!", it's a transformation of politics as
the kind of voter reaction that we older folks associate with
Cesar Chavez, and MLK.
And of course we can never forget the important question:
to my house and talked to me?" I believe, as do other candidates
to, that most people will vote for a candidate who comes to
their home no
matter what the candidate's positions on the issues are. And
a superb job there too.